China Plans New Limits on Coal Prices in Fix for Energy Crisis

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The top economic planning agency is studying plans for a “price formation mechanism to guide the long-term stability of coal prices in a reasonable range,” the National Development and Reform Commission said Tuesday in a statement. Officials are already carrying out work to assess average production costs and help set a benchmark rate.

Prices of physical coal cargoes and futures contracts surged from around the start of last month as China began to experience power shortages that have impacted key industries and risk crimping growth. Action by authorities to curb those gains, and to help miners boost supply, have had an impact, with futures tumbling by about a third in the past week.

Read more: China Tears Up Rule Book in Race to Fix Its Energy Crisis

The most-active thermal coal contract on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange fell as much as 7.6% as of 10:02 a.m. local time Tuesday to 1,207 yuan ($189) a ton, the lowest intraday price in almost a month. 

Prices could remain elevated through the rest of the year with inventory levels still low and peak winter demand approaching, before correcting in the first quarter of 2022, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analysts including Sara Chan said in a Monday note.  

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